LatAm será resiliente ante la desaceleración del comercio global
Date: 9 May
La mayoría de los países latinoamericanos enfrentarán impactos arancelarios directos muy limitados, dada su menor dependencia de las exportaciones hacia EE. UU. y las exclusiones que benefician a las principales materias primas exportadas por la región. Sin embargo, posibles efectos de segundo orden, como la caída en los precios de algunas materias primas y la respuesta de China, moldearán las consecuencias. Por el momento, esperamos que la resiliencia de la demanda interna compense parcialmente la desaceleración del comercio global, con la excepción de México, donde se sentirá con mayor intensidad el impacto de la guerra comercial. Consideramos que los riesgos para la inflación derivados de la guerra comercial ahora están más equilibrados que hace unos meses.
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Débora Reyna García
Economist, Latin America
+52 55 7100 1826
Débora Reyna García
Economist, Latin America
Mexico City, Mexico
Débora joined Oxford Economics in April 2021 and is based in our Mexico City office. She is responsible for Colombia, Peru, Ecuador and Costa Rica’s macroeconomic coverage, and is also involved in Latin America’s regional thematic research.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Débora spent two years in BCP, the largest bank in Peru, providing macroeconomic forecasts and financial advisory. Formerly, she worked as an analyst covering international economics at the Treasury Department of Peru, monitoring and analyzing global economic conditions.
Débora holds two masters degrees, being the most recent an MSc in International Trade, Finance and Development at the Universitat Pompeu Fabra, part of the Barcelona Graduate School of Economics in 2018. Prior to that, she completed an MSc in Economics at the Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru (PUCP), in Lima, in 2015. She is fluent in English and Spanish.
Mauricio Monge
Economist, Latin America
Private: Mauricio Monge
Economist, Latin America
Mexico City, Mexico
Mauricio is a Senior LatAm Economist on the Macro team in Mexico City, focusing on Argentina, Ecuador, and Central America. He has over 8 years of experience in the international public and private sectors and holds a master’s degree in Macroeconomics from the Barcelona School of Economics.
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