Navigating trade uncertainty: global trade shifts and long-term consequences
Date: 29 May
Please join us for this webinar as we present how our Q2 2025 Megatrends Scenarios can help you navigate long-term uncertainty. We explore how different scenarios for global trade could shape long-term economic outcomes. In our Fractured World scenario, sustained geopolitical tensions drive widespread trade barriers and greater fragmentation over the next several decades. In contrast, the Tech Revolution scenario features a retreat from protectionism, fostering stability, increased investment, and accelerated adoption of technologies such as AI relative to our baseline.
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Benjamin Trevis
Senior Economist – Scenarios and Macro Modelling
London, United Kingdom
Benjamin Trevis is a Senior Economist on the Scenarios and Modelling team at Oxford Economics. His work contributes to a variety of consulting projects, analysing both short- and long-term macroeconomic risks. This research explores how factors such as geopolitics, climate change, technology, and demographics shape the global economic outlook, with particular attention to the risks associated with them.
Benjamin joined Oxford Economics’ London office in September 2023. He previously worked at the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) as an Economist, and holds a Masters degree in Economics from the University of Sheffield.
Daniel Moseley
Lead Economist – Scenarios and Macro Modelling
London, United Kingdom
Dan is a Lead Economist in the Macro Modelling and Scenarios team, based in London. Since joining Oxford Economics in 2018, Dan has worked on a range of consulting projects, regulatory stress tests, bespoke scenario analysis and econometric modelling projects. Dan is responsible for the publication of our long-run macroeconomic scenario projections, the Megatrends Scenarios service.
Jed Cartledge
Apprentice – Scenarios and Macro Modelling
Jed Cartledge
Apprentice – Scenarios and Macro Modelling
London
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